Lead Prices Fluctuate Downward as Smelters Show Increased Willingness for Maintenance; January Secondary Lead Production May Decrease by Over 45,000 mt? [SMM Analysis]

Published: Dec 31, 2024 14:42
[SMM Analysis: Lead Prices Fluctuate Downward, Smelters' Maintenance Intentions Increase, January Secondary Lead Production May Drop by Over 45,000 mt?] SMM, December 31: In December 2024, secondary crude lead production increased slightly, up 0.6% MoM but down 6.03% YoY. Secondary refined lead production decreased 0.97% MoM and dropped 10.34% YoY. In December, multiple regions frequently issued orange alerts for heavy pollution weather, with secondary lead smelters in provinces such as Anhui, Henan, and Shandong significantly affected by environmental protection-related controls...

》View SMM Lead Product Prices, Data, and Market Analysis

》Subscribe to View SMM Historical Spot Metal Prices

》Click to Access the SMM Database

SMM, December 31:

In December 2024, secondary crude lead production increased slightly, up 0.6% MoM but down 6.03% YoY. Secondary refined lead production fell 0.97% MoM and dropped 10.34% YoY. Multiple regions issued frequent orange alerts for heavy pollution weather in December, significantly impacting secondary lead smelters in provinces such as Anhui, Henan, and Shandong due to environmental protection-related controls. As a major production area for secondary lead, Anhui experienced frequent production cuts and shutdowns during the month. In Henan and Jiangsu, vehicle transportation was restricted, affecting raw material arrivals, while in Shandong, smelters faced delays in ramping up production after resuming operations due to environmental controls. Overall, the increase in secondary lead production in December fell short of expectations.

Recently, lead prices have fluctuated downward, severely compressing secondary lead profits. Combined with the onset of winter, lower temperatures affecting furnace operations (especially in north China), and tight battery scrap supply, smelters showed a strong willingness for maintenance. Some smelters indicated plans for maintenance in January, with shutdown dates concentrated at month-end, though a few smelters mentioned the possibility of halting production in early January. According to SMM statistics, secondary lead production in January 2025 is expected to decline significantly, with a potential drop exceeding 45,000 mt.

 

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Lead Prices Stagnant, Smelters Maintain Firm Offers Amid Losses
Feb 6, 2026 19:50
Lead Prices Stagnant, Smelters Maintain Firm Offers Amid Losses
Read More
Lead Prices Stagnant, Smelters Maintain Firm Offers Amid Losses
Lead Prices Stagnant, Smelters Maintain Firm Offers Amid Losses
Lead prices were in the doldrums, while secondary lead smelters maintained firm offers due to losses. The mainstream spot order ex-factory prices including tax narrowed the discount to the SMM #1 lead average price by 100 yuan/mt, shifting to a premium of 0–25 yuan/mt, with some smelters halting offers and sales.
Feb 6, 2026 19:50
"Domestic Secondary Crude Lead Market Slows as Holidays Approach, Smelters Halt Production"
Feb 6, 2026 19:49
"Domestic Secondary Crude Lead Market Slows as Holidays Approach, Smelters Halt Production"
Read More
"Domestic Secondary Crude Lead Market Slows as Holidays Approach, Smelters Halt Production"
"Domestic Secondary Crude Lead Market Slows as Holidays Approach, Smelters Halt Production"
Pre-holiday stockpiling by downstream enterprises had largely concluded, and a few had already entered the holiday period, completely suspending procurement. Next week, secondary lead smelters will enter a concentrated wave of production halts and holidays, resulting in sluggish trading activity in the spot market. Offers for spot refined lead orders were sparse, with prices moving in line with the market.
Feb 6, 2026 19:49
Sluggish Transactions in Domestic Secondary Crude Lead Market, Prices at 15,250-15,400 Yuan/mt
Feb 6, 2026 19:48
Sluggish Transactions in Domestic Secondary Crude Lead Market, Prices at 15,250-15,400 Yuan/mt
Read More
Sluggish Transactions in Domestic Secondary Crude Lead Market, Prices at 15,250-15,400 Yuan/mt
Sluggish Transactions in Domestic Secondary Crude Lead Market, Prices at 15,250-15,400 Yuan/mt
The domestic secondary crude lead market experienced sluggish transactions. As of February 6, 2026, the ex-factory tax-exclusive offers for domestic secondary crude lead stood at 15,250-15,400 yuan/mt. Downstream refined lead and alloy smelters gradually entered the holiday period, showing weak stockpiling willingness. Overseas lead ingot suppliers basically halted transactions with China due to poor consumption in the Chinese market, with only some previously concluded shipments maintaining normal in-transit transportation. The trading atmosphere in the secondary crude lead market will continue to weaken next week.
Feb 6, 2026 19:48